Who's our new PM?

My wife, having read the preceding post, said that I should have told you who will win Australia's forthcoming Federal elections.
"You're not a working journo any more and I bet no-one reads your blog anyway, so why not be brave and announce the winner," she said.
Well, she's right, and she's wrong. I will tell you what I reckon, but I can't forecast a result.
Honestly, I don't yet know which party I want to be our next Government.
I believe that Howard and Co. have done a good job over the recent years. Australia is the better for their efforts, I'm sure. All the same, I reckon we've been governed, recently, more by direction than consultation – as if by some sort of “divine right,” if you see what I mean. It might well be time for a change.
I don't, by the way, have any doubts that Labor's Mr Rudd is an honest, clever and highly motivated candidate for the Prime Ministership, and I'm certain his deputy will put new life and vigor into the industrial relations scene if her team wins the contest.
I worry, though, about the rest of the Labor team, and how many of its candidates owe their place to factional pressures rather than honest political potential.
I have, therefore, a new election-time policy - I'm going to ignore pollsters and commentators completely. I'm going to read the paper, listen to the news, and take my time.
Hopefully, by the time the forms are on the bench and the pencil is in hand, I'll have made a choice.